Great Graphic: Interesting Sterling Price Action

Sterling is having an interesting day.  It fell in the face of the US dollar's bounce but has recovered fully.  It has not yet...

The Dollar: Real or Nominal Rates?

Real interest rates are nominal rates adjusted for inflation expectations. Inflation expectations are tricky to measure.  The Federal Reserve identifies two broad metrics.  There are...

Emerging Markets: Week Ahead Preview

(from my colleague Dr. Win Thin)EM ended the week on a firm note, with markets digesting what they perceived as a dovish Fed bias....

Politics Not Economics is Driving the Markets

The US dollar has been correcting lower since mid-December.  Interest rates have begun moving in the dollar's favor, and the equity market is again knocking...

Dollar Turn Remains Elusive

The end of the US dollar's downside correction, which we see having begun in mid-December, following the Fed hike rather than the start of...

The Future of Globalization

(draft of monthly column for a Chinese paper)The cross-border movement of goods, services, and capital increased markedly for the thirty years up to the...

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